As you’re probably aware, most warmists appear to believe it vitally important that the reputed consensus in the scientific community regarding CAGW remains inviolate. Any questioning of this consensus, any appearance of pockets of dissent anywhere in the world, is ruthlessly attacked—as we’ve seen so often in both the published literature, and the blogosphere.
This makes the Chinese government’s derailing of last year’s Copenhagen summit most intriguing. Given that scientists in that country do not have to tout for research grants the way they do in the West, and are thus (counter-intuitively in an otherwise totalitarian society) freer to give their masters frank and fearless advice, untainted by any political agenda, it begs the question: what do you suppose they told Premier Wen Jiabao (himself a qualified geologist) about Global Warming? And what is Mr. Wen’s own opinion?
The common response that I’ve tended to hear to this is that China leads the world in renewable energy technology investment. It’s an argument that rings a little hollow when you consider Beijing plans to build coal-fired power stations at the equivalent rate of one Australia, per year, for the next twenty-five years. The reputed Chinese fascination with renewable energy looks at best, a very long-term fallback position; at worst, a façade.
That’s what makes what you’re about to read even more startling. It’s a book called Low Carbon Plot, by Gou Hongyang and, as it’s freely available in China’s government-controlled bookstores, carries Beijing’s nihil obstat. No English translation is currently available, but our own China correspondent, Locusts, has translated the introduction from the original Mandarin, and (not entirely without risk to himself) has asked me to make it publicly available on this forum. At four thousand words, it’s a little long to insert onto a blog page, but you can navigate to it from the Rare Scribblings menu option at the top, or just click here.
It’s not so much an eye-opener as it is a bombshell. If true, it shows the Chinese government as rejecting CAGW in its entirety, believing it a conspiracy between Western governments and business to protect their own way of life, at the expense of the entire developing world—in other words, 80% of the world’s population.
I urge all of you to read this excerpt from Low Carbon Plot. Those who speak with the certainty of ignorance, and tout the Chinese government as yet another compliant administration of Global Warming believers, will need to think again. And all of us owe Locusts a vote of thanks.
Update 23 August 2010: Part II of this story has recently been posted; you can view it here.